Poll Shows Walker Widening Lead in N.H.

Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker (photo credit: Gage Skidmore via Flickr, CC BY-SA 2.0)
Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker (photo credit: Gage Skidmore via Flickr, CC BY-SA 2.0)

A recent PPP poll of 358 New Hampshire GOP primary voters showed Scott Walker has improved his position in the field from the last NH poll, a Boston Herald poll I had covered previously. Walker now has 24 percent of the vote, up from 15 percent in the last poll. Additionally, Bush has fallen from 15 percent to 10 percent in the recent poll, which moves him from being tied for first place with Walker to fourth place, behind Walker, Cruz and Paul. The full results were as follows:

  • Scott Walker: 24%
  • Ted Cruz: 14%
  • Rand Paul: 12%
  • Jeb Bush: 10%
  • Chris Christie: 8%
  • Marco Rubio: 8%
  • Mike Huckabee: 7%
  • Ben Carson: 7%
  • Rick Perry: 4%

The poll also included questions regarding candidate favorability, allowing for use of the Frank Cannon Metric:

Net Favorability Not sure
Scott Walker +44 30%
Ben Carson +31 41%
Bobby Jindal +29 44%
Rand Paul +29 21%
Marco Rubio +27 29%
Ted Cruz +24 25%
Mike Huckabee +16 20%
Carly Fiorina +14 54%
Rick Perry +10 28%
John Kasich +7 62%
Rick Santorum +6 35%
Jeb Bush +1 19%
Donald Trump -1 19%
George Pataki -7 51%
Chris Christie -15 17%
Lindsey Graham -16 45%

These results show that Scott Walker is doing well both in favorability as well as support in the poll. Carly Fiorina and John Kasich have the greatest potential to improve their numbers, as they have a base of favorability as well as large pools of undecided respondents. On the other end of the spectrum is Jeb Bush, who turns in numbers that are very similar to those of Donald Trump, which is very surprising for a candidate considered a front runner in the race.

Joshua Pinho works for American Principles in Action.